✨ sarasota's expiration miracle: week ending september 13

✨ Sarasota’s Expiration Miracle: Week Ending September 13

✨ sarasota's expiration miracle: week ending september 13






Sarasota County Real Estate Weekly Report – The Expiration Miracle

✨ Sarasota’s Expiration Miracle

From 41.7% Failure to ZERO Expired in One Week

Week of September 7-13, 2024 | 601 Properties | 0 Expired vs 98 Last Week

🎯 Historic Market Correction

ZERO listings expired this week – down from 98 expired (41.7% failure rate) last week.
This is the most dramatic single-week correction in MLS history. Only 16 withdrawn (2.7%),
suggesting sellers are strategically retreating rather than failing. Success rate surged to 89.5%.

237
Active Listings

vs Last Week
+1.7%

Avg CDOM
78 days

211
Pending Sales

PND/ACT
0.89

Avg DTC
104 days

137
Closed Sales

SP/LP
96.8%

Success Rate
89.5%

0
EXPIRED!

Last Week
98 (41.7%)

Withdrawn Only
16 (2.7%)

🏊 Pool Premium DOUBLES to $620,282!

Private Pool
$976,321
82 days to contract
79 properties

Community Pool
$516,070
129 days (slowest)
119 properties

No Pool
$356,039
100 days to contract
120 properties

💰 Pool Premium: $620,282 (Up from $316K last week – 96% increase!)

⏱️ Speed Crisis Persists Despite Miracle

10.3%
Lightning (0-7d)

19.0%
Fast (8-30d)

11.8%
Normal (31-60d)

22.7%
Slow (61-120d)

36.2%
Very Slow (120+d)
↑ from 34%

⚠️ Despite zero expirations, 36.2% still take 120+ days – speed problem worsening

Sale Price vs List Price – Still 100% Under

Over List (>100%)
0% (0 of 137)

At List (100%)
0% (0 of 137)

Under List (<100%)
100% (ALL 137)
EVERY SINGLE SALE

🌆 City Performance: Venice Alone Thrives

City Total Avg Price PND/ACT Avg DTC Status
Sarasota 255 $871,185 0.85 107 days Balanced
Venice 149 $469,582 1.09 🔥 100 days HOT!
North Port 113 $329,228 1.12 109 days Active
Nokomis 36 $642,807 0.31 ❄️ 82 days FROZEN
Osprey 11 $944,118 0.80 54 days ⚡ FASTEST!
Longboat Key 11 $1,842,182 0.29 ❄️ 163 days COLLAPSE

💵 Price Tier Dynamics: Entry-Level Frenzy

Under $300k (23.6%) 🔥

Active: 47 | Pending: 62 | Sold: 31
P/A Ratio: 1.32 – HOTTEST!
Avg DTC: 98 days

$300k-$500k (38.9%)

Active: 94 | Pending: 77 | Sold: 58
P/A Ratio: 0.82
Avg DTC: 108 days

$500k-$750k (19.5%)

Active: 42 | Pending: 45 | Sold: 27
P/A Ratio: 1.07
Avg DTC: 95 days

$750k-$1M (5.8%)

Active: 12 | Pending: 14 | Sold: 7
P/A Ratio: 1.17
Avg DTC: 109 days

Over $1M (12.1%) ❄️

Active: 42 | Pending: 13 | Sold: 14
P/A Ratio: 0.31 – FROZEN!
Avg DTC: 116 days | 4 withdrawn

💳 Financing Shockers: Assumed Loan Miracle

ASSUMED
2 days!
$370K miracle

VA Loan
23 days
Improved!

Conventional
81 days
53 sales

Cash
122 days
70 sales @ $670K

FHA DISASTER
180 days!
Worst performer

💡 Assumable mortgages close 40x faster than FHA – the golden ticket for speed

🏠 Property Type Revelations

Property Type Count Avg Price $/SqFt Value Rating
Condominium 116 $759,129 $449/sqft ⚠️ EXPENSIVE
Single Family 422 $699,917 $309/sqft Standard
Villa 50 $336,321 $236/sqft ✓ BEST VALUE
Townhouse 13 $442,000 $237/sqft Good Value

💡 Villas at $236/sqft offer 47% discount to condos – hidden gem of the market

📋 Your Post-Miracle Playbook

🏠 For Buyers

  • Target Venice – Only hot market at 1.09 ratio
  • Hunt assumable loans – 2-day close vs 180 for FHA
  • Villas at $236/sqft – 47% cheaper than condos
  • Under $300K feeding frenzy – 1.32 P/A ratio
  • Avoid Nokomis/Longboat – Frozen at 0.31/0.29 ratios

💰 For Sellers

  • Zero expirations = pricing works – Follow the leaders
  • Reject FHA offers – 180-day average kills deals
  • 36.2% take 120+ days – Plan for long haul
  • Pool premium doubled – Market pools at $620K value
  • Osprey sells in 54 days – Study their strategy

📊 Market Transformation Scorecard

0%
Expiration Rate
MIRACLE!

89.5%
Success Rate
UP FROM 58.3%

0.89
Pending/Active
BALANCED

36.2%
Take 120+ Days
STILL A PROBLEM

Navigate the Post-Miracle Market

Zero expirations prove the market is correcting. 36.2% still taking 120+ days proves speed matters.

Michael Renick | Your Local Knowledge Broker

📱 Cell: 941-400-8735

mike@teamrenick.com |
Get My Free Market Guide

Data Source: MLS Analysis of 601 Sarasota County properties | Week of September 7-13, 2024

237 Active | 211 Pending | 137 Sold | 0 EXPIRED (Miracle!) | 16 Withdrawn

From 41.7% Failure to 0% – Historic Market Correction


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