✨ sarasota’s expiration miracle: week ending september 13
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✨ Sarasota’s Expiration Miracle: Week Ending September 13

✨ sarasota’s expiration miracle: week ending september 13

✨ Sarasota’s Expiration Miracle

From 41.7% Failure to ZERO Expired in One Week

Week of September 7-13, 2024 | 601 Properties | 0 Expired vs 98 Last Week

🎯 Historic Market Correction

ZERO listings expired this week

– down from 98 expired (41.7% failure rate) last week. This is the most dramatic single-week correction in MLS history. Only 16 withdrawn (2.7%), suggesting sellers are strategically retreating rather than failing. Success rate surged to 89.5%.

237
Active Listings

vs Last Week
+1.7%

Avg CDOM
78 days

211
Pending Sales

PND/ACT
0.89

Avg DTC
104 days

137
Closed Sales

SP/LP
96.8%

Success Rate
89.5%

0
EXPIRED!

Last Week
98 (41.7%)

Withdrawn Only
16 (2.7%)

🏊 Pool Premium DOUBLES to $620,282!

Private Pool
$976,321
82 days to contract
79 properties

Community Pool
$516,070
129 days (slowest)
119 properties

No Pool
$356,039
100 days to contract
120 properties

💰 Pool Premium: $620,282 (Up from $316K last week – 96% increase!)

⏱️ Speed Crisis Persists Despite Miracle

10.3%
Lightning (0-7d)

19.0%
Fast (8-30d)

11.8%
Normal (31-60d)

22.7%
Slow (61-120d)

36.2%
Very Slow (120+d)
↑ from 34%

⚠️ Despite zero expirations, 36.2% still take 120+ days – speed problem worsening

Sale Price vs List Price – Still 100% Under

Over List (>100%)
0% (0 of 137)

At List (100%)
0% (0 of 137)

Under List (<100%)
100% (ALL 137)
EVERY SINGLE SALE

🌆 City Performance: Venice Alone Thrives

CityTotalAvg PricePND/ACTAvg DTCStatus
Sarasota255$871,1850.85107 daysBalanced
Venice149$469,5821.09 🔥100 daysHOT!
North Port113$329,2281.12109 daysActive
Nokomis36$642,8070.31 ❄️82 daysFROZEN
Osprey11$944,1180.8054 days ⚡FASTEST!
Longboat Key11$1,842,1820.29 ❄️163 daysCOLLAPSE

Swipe for more

💵 Price Tier Dynamics: Entry-Level Frenzy

Under $300k (23.6%) 🔥

Active: 47 | Pending: 62 | Sold: 31
P/A Ratio: 1.32 – HOTTEST!
Avg DTC: 98 days

$300k-$500k (38.9%)

Active: 94 | Pending: 77 | Sold: 58
P/A Ratio: 0.82
Avg DTC: 108 days

$500k-$750k (19.5%)

Active: 42 | Pending: 45 | Sold: 27
P/A Ratio: 1.07
Avg DTC: 95 days

$750k-$1M (5.8%)

Active: 12 | Pending: 14 | Sold: 7
P/A Ratio: 1.17
Avg DTC: 109 days

Over $1M (12.1%) ❄️

Active: 42 | Pending: 13 | Sold: 14
P/A Ratio: 0.31 – FROZEN!
Avg DTC: 116 days | 4 withdrawn

💳 Financing Shockers: Assumed Loan Miracle

ASSUMED
2 days!
$370K miracle

VA Loan
23 days
Improved!

Conventional
81 days
53 sales

Cash
122 days
70 sales @ $670K

FHA DISASTER
180 days!
Worst performer

💡 Assumable mortgages close 40x faster than FHA – the golden ticket for speed

🏠 Property Type Revelations

Property TypeCountAvg Price$/SqFtValue Rating
Condominium116$759,129$449/sqft ⚠️EXPENSIVE
Single Family422$699,917$309/sqftStandard
Villa50$336,321$236/sqft ✓BEST VALUE
Townhouse13$442,000$237/sqftGood Value

Swipe for more

💡 Villas at $236/sqft offer 47% discount to condos – hidden gem of the market

📋 Your Post-Miracle Playbook

🏠 For Buyers

  • Target Venice – Only hot market at 1.09 ratio
  • Hunt assumable loans – 2-day close vs 180 for FHA
  • Villas at $236/sqft – 47% cheaper than condos
  • Under $300K feeding frenzy – 1.32 P/A ratio
  • Avoid Nokomis/Longboat – Frozen at 0.31/0.29 ratios

💰 For Sellers

  • Zero expirations = pricing works – Follow the leaders
  • Reject FHA offers – 180-day average kills deals
  • 36.2% take 120+ days – Plan for long haul
  • Pool premium doubled – Market pools at $620K value
  • Osprey sells in 54 days – Study their strategy

📊 Market Transformation Scorecard

0%
Expiration Rate
MIRACLE!

89.5%
Success Rate
UP FROM 58.3%

0.89
Pending/Active
BALANCED

36.2%
Take 120+ Days
STILL A PROBLEM

Navigate the Post-Miracle Market

Zero expirations prove the market is correcting. 36.2% still taking 120+ days proves speed matters.

Michael Renick | Your Local Knowledge Broker

📱 Cell: 941-400-8735

mike@teamrenick.com |
Get My Free Market Guide

Data Source: MLS Analysis of 601 Sarasota County properties | Week of September 7-13, 2024

237 Active | 211 Pending | 137 Sold | 0 EXPIRED (Miracle!) | 16 Withdrawn

From 41.7% Failure to 0% – Historic Market Correction

Frequently Asked Questions

What happened to expired listings in Sarasota that week?

Expired listings dropped to zero for the week of September 7-13, 2024, after 98 expired the week before. The post calls that the most dramatic single-week correction in MLS history. It also notes 16 listings were withdrawn, which points to sellers stepping back rather than letting the listing fail.

How did Longboat Key perform compared with other Sarasota-area cities?

Longboat Key had 11 sales, an average price of $1,842,182, a pending-to-active ratio of 0.29, and an average days to contract of 163 days. In the post, that puts Longboat Key in the “collapse” category, while Venice is the only city labeled hot at 1.09. The contrast is sharp and local.

Why did the post say Venice was the only hot market?

Venice posted a pending-to-active ratio of 1.09, which was the strongest city result in the table. The post also shows Venice with an average price of $469,582 and an average days to contract of 100 days. That combination is why it was singled out as the only city thriving.

What property type looked like the best value in this market?

Standard villas were listed as the best value at $236 per square foot, with an average price of $336,321. The post says villas at that price point offer a 47% discount to condos, which were shown at $449 per square foot and labeled expensive. Townhouses also came in as good value at $237 per square foot.

Michael renick, senior broker at mangrove realty associates inc

About the Author

I’m Michael Renick — a Florida West Coast broker with over 15 years guiding families through some of the biggest decisions of their lives. I’ve built my practice on hard work, honesty, and total transparency. No shortcuts, no spin — just straight answers, deep market knowledge, and the dedication my clients deserve from start to close.

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