Manatee county: the 32. 3% slowdown - week ending september 13

Manatee County: The 32.3% Slowdown – Week Ending September 13

Manatee county: the 32. 3% slowdown - week ending september 13






Manatee County Real Estate Weekly Report – September 7-13, 2024

📊 Manatee County: The 32.3% Slowdown

1 in 3 Properties Now Take 120+ Days to Sell

Week of September 7-13, 2024 | 605 Properties Analyzed | Market Velocity Declining

⚠️ Market Velocity Alert

32.3% of properties now take over 120 days to sell – up from 29.6% last week.
Despite inventory surging 18.6% to 605 properties, the market is slowing, not accelerating.
100% of homes continue selling under list price.

246
Active Listings

Week/Week
+33%

Avg CDOM
76 days

174
Pending Sales

PND/ACT
0.71

Avg DTC
98 days

151
Closed Sales

SP/LP
96.7%

Success Rate
81.6%

34
Expired

Exp Rate
5.6%

Avg DOM Before Expiring
213 days

⏱️ The Speed Crisis: 32.3% Take 120+ Days

11.1%
Lightning (0-7d)
Avg $668K

16.3%
Fast (8-30d)

16.3%
Normal (31-60d)

24.0%
Slow (61-120d)

32.3%
Very Slow (120+d)
↑ from 29.6%

Sale Price vs List Price – Week 2 Reality Check

Over List (>100%)
0% (0 of 151)

At List (100%)
0% (0 of 151)

Under List (<100%)
100% (ALL 151)
EVERY SINGLE SALE

Week 2 Update: Still 100% of sales under list – no change from last week

🌆 City Performance Report Card

City Total Avg Price PND/ACT Avg DTC Status
Bradenton 260 $477,106 0.77 104 days 6.2% expire
Parrish 132 $446,621 0.98 89 days ✓ Balanced
Palmetto 77 $519,163 0.38 ⚠️ 89 days CRISIS
Lakewood Ranch 67 $757,970 0.46 97 days 7.5% expire
Holmes Beach 8 $1,961,738 3.00 87 days 37.5% EXPIRE!

🏊 Pool Reality Check

Private Pool
$801,783
110 days to contract
60 properties

Community Pool
$386,879
98 days to contract
167 properties (WINNER)

No Pool
$425,627
89 days (FASTEST)
70 properties

💡 No-pool homes sell 21 days faster than private pools

💵 Price Tier Performance Analysis

Under $300k (18.0%)

Active: 42 | Pending: 35 | Sold: 25
Expired: 7 | DTC: 121 days ⚠️

$300k-$500k (44.3%)

Active: 110 | Pending: 73 | Sold: 75
THE SWEET SPOT | DTC: 87 days ✓

$500k-$750k (25.3%)

Active: 61 | Pending: 49 | Sold: 32
Expired: 11 | DTC: 109 days

$750k-$1M (6.3%)

Active: 23 | Pending: 8 | Sold: 5
332 DAYS TO EXPIRE! ⚠️

Over $1M (6.1%)

Active: 10 | Pending: 9 | Sold: 14
78% Success Rate! | DTC: 118 days

💳 Financing Speed Analysis – VA Loan Disaster

USDA (Unicorn)
5 days
1 sale @ $320K

FHA
84 days
20 sales

Conventional
99 days
70 sales

Cash
113 days
55 sales @ $699K

VA Loan
207 days!
2.5x longer than FHA

⚠️ VA loans take 207 days – sellers will reject on sight

🏠 Property Style Value Rankings

Property Type Count Avg Price $/SqFt Exp Rate Value Score
Townhouse 29 $311,978 $193/sqft ✓ 6.9% BEST VALUE
Villa 33 $355,187 $239/sqft 9.1% Good
Condominium 107 $334,234 $251/sqft 7.5% Fair
Single Family 436 $620,489 $282/sqft Low Premium

💡 Townhouses: 31% cheaper per sqft than single family with lower expiration risk

📋 Your Week 2 Action Playbook

🏠 For Buyers

  • Target townhouses at $193/sqft – 31% discount to SFR
  • Avoid Palmetto – 0.38 demand ratio signals problems
  • No-pool homes sell 21 days faster – skip the pool search
  • $300-500K is the active zone – 44.3% of all inventory
  • Offer 3-5% under list – 100% still selling below ask

💰 For Sellers

  • Reject VA offers – 207-day average will kill your sale
  • Price for 120+ day timeline – 32.3% take that long
  • Holmes Beach = 37.5% failure – price ultra-aggressively
  • 1990s homes expire at 15.2% – hurricane-era stigma
  • Over $1M has 78% success – luxury still works

📊 Market Velocity Scorecard

0.71
Pending/Active Ratio
BUYER’S MARKET

81.6%
Success Rate
151 SOLD / 34 EXPIRED

98
Avg Days to Contract
3+ MONTH AVERAGE

32.3%
Take 120+ Days
↑ FROM 29.6%

Navigate the 32.3% Slowdown

With 1 in 3 properties taking 120+ days and 100% selling under list, you need data-driven expertise.

Michael Renick | Your Local Knowledge Broker

📱 Cell: 941-400-8735

mike@teamrenick.com |
Get My Free Market Guide

Data Source: MLS Analysis of 605 Manatee County properties | Week of September 7-13, 2024

246 Active | 174 Pending | 151 Sold | 34 Expired

Market Velocity Alert: 32.3% of properties now take 120+ days to sell


Similar Posts